How much revenue did Grounded make?

$26.2M–$70.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Grounded sell?

Q: How many copies did Grounded sell?

2.4M to 3.9M copies, based on its 96k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.4M–3.9M; $26.2M–$70.4M after Steam's cut $47.6M–$108.3M before Steam's cut; from 96k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grounded and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grounded's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 35.0M–72.0M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Grounded

A typical game among these

≈ 35.0M–72.0M copies

≈ $237.6M–$473.1M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (7 of 8) and Crafting (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Battle Royale + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Among Us 2018	Est. copies ≈ 22.8M–37.0M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut	$4.99	749k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 98.5M–160.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.6M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Left 4 Dead 2 2009	Est. copies ≈ 67.0M–108.9M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.1M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesCo-op
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Apex Legends™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.1M reviews Mixed	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Dead by Daylight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 39.0M–63.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	937k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer