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How many copies did Rebel Cops sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 53k–86k
$146k–$393k after Steam's cut $266k–$604k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rebel Cops and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rebel Cops's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 127k–261k
best case 730k (Wasteland 3)
Games like Rebel Cops

A typical game among these

≈ 127k–261k copies

≈ $1.8M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wasteland 3 at ≈ 557k–904k copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (6 of 8) and Tactical (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with CRPG + Character Customization, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2020
Est. copies
≈ 193k–313k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
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Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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StrategyAnime
Wasteland 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 557k–904k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGCharacter Customization
Disgaea 2 PC
2017
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$323k–$869k after Steam's cut $588k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy RPG
Disgaea 5 Complete
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I am not a Monster: First Contact
2018
Est. copies
≈ 39k–64k
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Est. revenue
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Phantom Doctrine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
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Warhammer 40,000: Battlesector
2021
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
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$39.99
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Very Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K

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