How much revenue did Phantom Doctrine make?

$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Phantom Doctrine sell?

Q: How many copies did Phantom Doctrine sell?

143k to 232k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 143k–232k; $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Phantom Doctrine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Phantom Doctrine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 372k–912k

best case 821k (Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden)

Games like Phantom Doctrine

A typical game among these

≈ 372k–912k copies

≈ $3.1M–$9.7M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden at ≈ 625k–1.0M copies, ≈ $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8) and Stealth (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Bureau: XCOM Declassified 2013	Est. copies ≈ 764k–1.2M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	12k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionTactical
Xenonauts 2014	Est. copies ≈ 284k–462k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Tactics
Invisible, Inc. 2015	Est. copies ≈ 283k–459k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkDifficult
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden 2018	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	21k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRPG
Steam Link 2015	Est. copies ≈ 360k–584k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Steam MachineSoftware
METAL GEAR SOLID V: GROUND ZEROES 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	StealthAction
METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version 2023	Est. copies ≈ 176k–286k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $968k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	ActionAction-Adventure
DUST - Post Apocalyptic RPG 2022	Est. copies ≈ 273–443 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before Steam's cut	$3.99	11 reviews Positive	ExplorationTactical RPG