How much revenue did Paradise Lost make?

$257k–$691k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Paradise Lost sell?

Q: How many copies did Paradise Lost sell?

62k to 101k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 62k–101k; $257k–$691k after Steam's cut $467k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paradise Lost and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paradise Lost's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–2.3M

best case 5.5M (Firewatch)

Games like Paradise Lost

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–2.3M copies

≈ $17k–$26.7M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Firewatch at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 95 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 2k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Underground (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Firewatch 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M 24x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	100k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
Urbex Night Security 2023	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$4.99	26 reviews Mixed	Early AccessExploration
Refund Me If You Can 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut	$3.99	134 reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorExploration
THE LONGING 2020	Est. copies ≈ 185k–301k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Point & ClickWalking Simulator
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Close Your Eyes [Old Version] 2015	Est. copies ≈ 38k–62k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	785 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureExploration
DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.8M–$50.6M after Steam's cut $34.2M–$77.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	69k reviews Very Positive	Story RichOpen World
The Door in the Basement 2021	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut	$10.99	191 reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric