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How many copies did Automachef sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–43k
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut
from 925 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Automachef and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Automachef's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–5.9M
best case 9.1M (Satisfactory)
Games like Automachef

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–5.9M copies

≈ $18.3M–$82.5M after Steam's cut

from ~90k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Satisfactory at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 184k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and Automation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Base-Building + Automation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
AdVenture Capitalist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PhysicsRogue-like
Dyson Sphere Program
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationSpace
Satisfactory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingAutomation
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut
$35.00
236k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Dwarf Fortress
2022
Est. copies
≈ 783k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.