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How many copies did Insomnis sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$116k before Steam's cut
from 274 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Insomnis and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Insomnis's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–1.8M
best case 4.6M (Poppy Playtime)
Games like Insomnis

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–1.8M copies

≈ $5.5M–$27.2M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Poppy Playtime at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 418 to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 5) and Psychological Horror (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + First-Person + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
143k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Little Nightmares II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
Atomic Heart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentFPS
Backrooms: Escape Together
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerHorror

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.