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How many copies did Blacksad: Under the Skin sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 201k–327k
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blacksad: Under the Skin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blacksad: Under the Skin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 753k–1.4M
best case 5.0M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like Blacksad: Under the Skin

A typical game among these

≈ 753k–1.4M copies

≈ $3.3M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 946 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Choices Matter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry RPG + Isometric + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You
2016
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPolitical Sim
Hacknet
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
HackingSimulation
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 401k–652k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Batman - The Telltale Series
2016
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterAdventure
Heavy Rain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 788k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.