How much revenue did Dead Wishes make?

$6k–$17k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dead Wishes sell?

Q: How many copies did Dead Wishes sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 78 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut; from 78 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Wishes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Wishes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 851k–1.1M

best case 10.3M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)

Games like Dead Wishes

A typical game among these

≈ 851k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.3M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 800 to 28k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Horror + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! 2021	Est. copies ≈ 813k–1.3M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
Tiny Bunny 2025	Est. copies ≈ 761k–1.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	31k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Horror
The Walking Dead: A New Frontier 2016	Est. copies ≈ 775k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	19k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesStory Rich
Doki Doki Literature Club! 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	229k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
BAD END THEATER 2021	Est. copies ≈ 250k–406k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
NEKOPARA Vol. 0 2015	Est. copies ≈ 869k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	18k reviews Very Positive	AnimeNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge 2009	Est. copies ≈ 937k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $513k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $932k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	15k reviews Mostly Positive	Cult ClassicPhysics