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How many copies did Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–44k
$187k–$504k after Steam's cut $341k–$775k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 904k–2.2M
best case 4.9M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)
Games like Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 904k–2.2M copies

≈ $4.0M–$49.5M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Strategy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 32k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (3 of 8) and Building (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
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Total War: WARHAMMER III
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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POLYGON
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Planet Coaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
1.8x vs typical
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SimulationBuilding

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.