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How many copies did Portal 2 - The Final Hours sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 54k–87k
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
from 851 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Portal 2 - The Final Hours and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Portal 2 - The Final Hours's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–6.6M
best case 57.5M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered)
Games like Portal 2 - The Final Hours

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–6.6M copies

≈ $183k–$65.1M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered at ≈ 43.8M–71.2M copies, ≈ $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 35 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 202.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Documentary (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Indie Game: The Movie
2012
Est. copies
≈ 120k–194k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$329k–$884k after Steam's cut $598k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MovieDocumentary
The Book of Distance
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
188 reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionVR
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
309x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
807x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Beginner's Guide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
The Making of Karateka
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$19.99
138 reviews
Very Positive
Action2D Fighter
AVROD
2021
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24 reviews
Mixed
EducationWeb Publishing
Vertical Slice: A Game Dev Story
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
$9.99
332 reviews
Mixed
SimulationCute

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