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How many copies did Astalon: Tears of the Earth sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 39k–63k
$214k–$575k after Steam's cut $389k–$885k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astalon: Tears of the Earth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astalon: Tears of the Earth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 712k–6.5M
best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)
Games like Astalon: Tears of the Earth

A typical game among these

≈ 712k–6.5M copies

≈ $4.3M–$142.8M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 367 to 171k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Fantasy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
ANIMAL WELL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
279k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGOpen World
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Monster Sanctuary
2020
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorPixel Graphics
Tales of Kenzera™: ZAU
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$135k–$362k after Steam's cut $245k–$557k before Steam's cut
$19.99
988 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAdventure
Pseudoregalia
2023
Est. copies
≈ 473k–769k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$5.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
3D PlatformerMetroidvania

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