How much revenue did Spin Rhythm XD make?

$578k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Spin Rhythm XD sell?

Q: How many copies did Spin Rhythm XD sell?

105k to 171k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 105k–171k; $578k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spin Rhythm XD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spin Rhythm XD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 813k–2.1M

best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)

Games like Spin Rhythm XD

A typical game among these

≈ 813k–2.1M copies

≈ $6.3M–$10.8M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 23k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Quaver 2022	Est. copies ≈ 425k–691k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	RhythmFree to Play
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 590k–959k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut	$39.39	24k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAnime
DJMAX RESPECT V 2020	Est. copies ≈ 867k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Crypt of the NecroDancer 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmFemale Protagonist
Just Shapes & Beats 2018	Est. copies ≈ 795k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmGreat Soundtrack
Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY 2024	Est. copies ≈ 629k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	25k reviews Very Positive	MusicEducation