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How many copies did Discontinue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 490–796
$538–$1k after Steam's cut $978–$2k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Discontinue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Discontinue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–97k
best case 177k (MX vs ATV Legends)
Games like Discontinue

A typical game among these

≈ 18k–97k copies

≈ $139k–$334k after Steam's cut

from ~649 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: MX vs ATV Legends at ≈ 135k–219k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 573 reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Sports (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Sports, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

AaaaaAAaaaAAAaaAAAAaAAAAA!!! for the Awesome
2011
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$190k–$511k after Steam's cut $345k–$786k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightSports
Blacktop Hoops
2024
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$155k–$416k after Steam's cut $282k–$640k before Steam's cut
$29.99
757 reviews
Very Positive
SportsBasketball
Racket: Nx
2018
Est. copies
≈ 16k–27k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before Steam's cut
$19.99
540 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSports
Pinball FX Classic VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before Steam's cut
$14.99
409 reviews
Very Positive
PinballVR
Project CARS 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 88k–144k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
RacingArcade
Dream Golf VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
143 reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayVR
Pickup Basketball VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$9.99
77 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsVR
MX vs ATV Legends
2022
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSports

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