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How many copies did Castle Woodwarf 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 85 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Castle Woodwarf 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Castle Woodwarf 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 533–2k
best case 385k (Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD)
Games like Castle Woodwarf 2

A typical game among these

≈ 533–2k copies

≈ $430–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~20 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD at ≈ 293k–477k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (7 of 8) and Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Fantasy, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Cartoon + Cartoony + Dragons; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Secrets of Magonia
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$31k before Steam's cut
$10.99
99 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense
Castle Woodwarf
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
197 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyIndie
Mages Defense
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
$11.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
AdventureStrategy
Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 293k–477k
592x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense
Tyrgard Archer VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$135–$363 after Steam's cut $246–$559 before Steam's cut
$0.99
20 reviews
Mostly Positive
ColorfulFantasy
Tower Defense: Defender of the Kingdom
2019
Est. copies
≈ 490–796
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$403–$1k after Steam's cut $733–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Mixed
StrategyTower Defense
Castlewatch
2023
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$176–$475 after Steam's cut $320–$730 before Steam's cut
$1.99
13 reviews
Positive
StrategyTower Defense
Castle Guardian
2024
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$3.99
27 reviews
Positive
Tower DefenseAction

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