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How many copies did Secrets of Magonia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$31k before Steam's cut
from 99 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Secrets of Magonia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Secrets of Magonia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 164k–319k
best case 175k (Necrosmith)
Games like Secrets of Magonia

A typical game among these

≈ 164k–319k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Necrosmith at ≈ 133k–216k copies, ≈ $109k–$294k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (8 of 8) and RTS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Action Roguelike, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$807k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseWargame
Necrosmith
2022
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$453k before Steam's cut
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Tower DefenseStrategy
Anomaly: Warzone Earth
2011
Est. copies
≈ 297k–482k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$815k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
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2026
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Early AccessTower Defense
X-Morph: Defense
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GemCraft - Chasing Shadows
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Est. copies
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Cluckmech Oasis
2024
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too small to compare
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$9.99
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Very Positive
StrategyRogue-like

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