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How many copies did Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 293k–477k
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 423–651
best case 7k (Castle Woodwarf)
Games like Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD

A typical game among these

≈ 423–651 copies

≈ $326–$906 after Steam's cut

from ~17 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Castle Woodwarf at ≈ 6k–9k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 33.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (7 of 8) and Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Indie + Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2024
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$3.99
27 reviews
Positive
Tower DefenseAction
Tyrgard Archer VR
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≈ 496–806
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Est. revenue
$135–$363 after Steam's cut $246–$559 before Steam's cut
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ColorfulFantasy
Castle Woodwarf 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
5.0x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut
$6.99
85 reviews
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IndieStrategy
Tower Defense: Defender of the Kingdom
2019
Est. copies
≈ 490–796
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$403–$1k after Steam's cut $733–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Mixed
StrategyTower Defense
Castle Woodwarf
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Free
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Very Positive
StrategyIndie
Castlewatch
2023
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
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$176–$475 after Steam's cut $320–$730 before Steam's cut
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Positive
StrategyTower Defense
Mages Defense
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
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6 user reviews
AdventureStrategy
Secrets of Magonia
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$31k before Steam's cut
$10.99
99 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.