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How many copies did BornWild • Versus Season 1, Vol.1 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BornWild • Versus Season 1, Vol.1 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BornWild • Versus Season 1, Vol.1's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.6M–14.0M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like BornWild • Versus Season 1, Vol.1

A typical game among these

≈ 5.6M–14.0M copies

≈ $54.2M–$89.8M after Steam's cut

from ~150k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + PvP + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut		 $13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut		 $19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free		 Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Warhammer: Vermintide 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut $67.3M–$153.2M before Steam's cut		 $29.99
148k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opDark Fantasy
POSTAL 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut		 $9.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ViolentDark Humor
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut		 $9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Insurgency: Sandstorm
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.4M–$89.9M after Steam's cut $60.8M–$138.3M before Steam's cut		 $29.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut		 $49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic

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