How much revenue did TheoTown make?

$383k–$1.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did TheoTown sell?

Q: How many copies did TheoTown sell?

139k to 227k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 139k–227k; $383k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $696k–$1.6M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TheoTown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TheoTown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 511k–1.3M

best case 9.9M (RimWorld)

Games like TheoTown

A typical game among these

≈ 511k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.5M–$11.0M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and Sandbox (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building + Survival, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Survival + Automation + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 9.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Necesse 2025	Est. copies ≈ 727k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
Kingdom: Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	23k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Space Haven 2026	Est. copies ≈ 277k–450k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingSpace
Rise to Ruins 2019	Est. copies ≈ 224k–363k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $922k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Tower Defense Colony Sim