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How many copies did Day of Dragons sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 228k–370k
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Day of Dragons and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Day of Dragons's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 220k–534k
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like Day of Dragons

A typical game among these

≈ 220k–534k copies

≈ $1.3M–$3.7M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 32k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Dinosaurs + Building + Open World Survival Craft; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest
2017
Est. copies
≈ 406k–660k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
111x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Mind Over Magic
2025
Est. copies
≈ 111k–181k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Firestone – Idle Clicker Online RPG
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174k–282k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerClicker
Savage Lands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 166k–269k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$182k–$489k after Steam's cut $331k–$752k before Steam's cut
$3.99
7k reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Citadel: Forged with Fire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 170k–276k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$700k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldRPG
Dark and Light
2017
Est. copies
≈ 407k–662k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.3M before Steam's cut
$17.99
12k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldSurvival
RuneScape: Dragonwilds
2026
Est. copies
≈ 784k–1.3M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival

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