How much revenue did Incident Commander make?

$11k–$31k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Incident Commander sell?

Q: How many copies did Incident Commander sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 84 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut; from 84 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Incident Commander and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Incident Commander's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–3.6M

best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)

Games like Incident Commander

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–3.6M copies

≈ $32.5M–$51.1M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share RTS (7 of 8) and War (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Alternate History + Grand Strategy + World War II; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.1M–24.6M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	363k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Age of Mythology: Extended Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.1M after Steam's cut $30.5M–$69.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMythology
STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	43k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires® III (2007) 2012	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Northgard: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut	$34.99	69k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	94k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.0M after Steam's cut $39.3M–$89.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	47k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Company of Heroes 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.6M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $39.4M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.6M–$162.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	113k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyWorld War II