How much revenue did OhShape make?

$45k–$120k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did OhShape sell?

Q: How many copies did OhShape sell?

8k to 13k copies, based on its 282 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8k–13k; $45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$185k before Steam's cut; from 282 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OhShape and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OhShape's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–13k

best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)

Games like OhShape

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–13k copies

≈ $18k–$98k after Steam's cut

from ~145 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 88 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 191.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Rhythm, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Moddable + Difficult + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
BOXVR 2019	Est. copies ≈ 47k–76k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	SportsIndie
PowerBeatsVR - VR Fitness 2020	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $77k–$206k after Steam's cut $139k–$317k before Steam's cut	$19.99	562 reviews Very Positive	SportsAction
SOUNDART 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut	$19.99	74 reviews Mostly Positive	SportsCasual
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 527x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm
Holodance 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before Steam's cut	$19.99	215 reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
DrumBeats VR 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut	$14.99	145 reviews Mixed	RhythmAudio Production
Blast Beat 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut	$19.99	49 reviews Positive	ActionRhythm
Box To The Beat VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut	$19.99	67 reviews Very Positive	VRRhythm