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How many copies did Dune Sea sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 662–1k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dune Sea and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dune Sea's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–31k
best case 738k (Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024)
Games like Dune Sea

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–31k copies

≈ $110k–$118k after Steam's cut

from ~494 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 at ≈ 562k–913k copies, ≈ $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 212 reviews in their first month; the range was 99 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Exploration (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight, priced around $42.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024
2024
Est. copies
≈ 562k–913k
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
23k reviews
Mixed
SimulationFlight
Secrets of Rætikon
2014
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$76k–$204k after Steam's cut $138k–$314k before Steam's cut
$9.99
494 reviews
Mixed
IndieAdventure
Fugl
2017
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut
$9.99
647 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessFlight
AER Memories of Old
2017
Est. copies
≈ 266k–433k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
Feather
2019
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$64k–$172k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before Steam's cut
$9.99
808 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationFlight
FPV SkyDive : FPV Drone Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 77k–125k
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
FlightExploration
InnerSpace
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before Steam's cut
$19.99
356 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationAdventure
Lifeslide
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before Steam's cut
$9.99
427 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure

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