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How many copies did Feather sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–38k
$64k–$172k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before Steam's cut
from 808 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Feather and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Feather's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 699k–2.0M
best case 10.7M (Stellaris)
Games like Feather

A typical game among these

≈ 699k–2.0M copies

≈ $4.6M–$23.3M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Stellaris at ≈ 8.2M–13.3M copies, ≈ $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 57 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 11k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (8 of 8) and Flight (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
60k reviews
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SandboxBase-Building
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut
$49.99
197k reviews
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X4: Foundations
2018
Est. copies
≈ 920k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSimulation
FireJumpers Inferno
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
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Rise - The Vieneo Province
2020
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$19.99
29 reviews
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FlightExploration
Hazeron Starship
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
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104 reviews
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ExplorationFPS
SimplePlanes
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Est. copies
≈ 533k–865k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
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11k reviews
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FlightSandbox
Avorion
2020
Est. copies
≈ 362k–588k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSandbox

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