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How many copies did SimplePlanes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 533k–865k
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SimplePlanes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SimplePlanes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 61k–155k
best case 2.0M (Stormworks: Build and Rescue)
Games like SimplePlanes

A typical game among these

≈ 61k–155k copies

≈ $360k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Flight (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stormworks: Build and Rescue at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 32 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (4 of 8) and Base-Building (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Base-Building, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stormworks: Build and Rescue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxBase-Building
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor
2020
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$296k–$796k after Steam's cut $538k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategySingleplayer
KitHack Model Club
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$94k–$252k after Steam's cut $171k–$388k before Steam's cut
$19.99
688 reviews
Mostly Positive
ModdableOpen World
Airport CEO
2021
Est. copies
≈ 207k–337k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
FlightResource Management
Astro Colony
2026
Est. copies
≈ 68k–110k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$372k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $676k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingAutomation
Bird
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
NatureFlight
Juno: New Origins
2023
Est. copies
≈ 88k–143k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$485k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $882k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingScience
Planet Nomads
2019
Est. copies
≈ 59k–95k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Sci-fiProcedural Generation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.