How much revenue did NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139... make?

$11.7M–$31.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139... sell?

Q: How many copies did NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139... sell?

707k to 1.1M copies, based on its 28k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 707k–1.1M; $11.7M–$31.3M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut; from 28k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139... and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139...'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25.2M–27.3M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139...

A typical game among these

≈ 25.2M–27.3M copies

≈ $194.9M–$298.9M after Steam's cut

from ~504k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Mature; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.8M–71.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	898k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Cyberpunk 2077 2020	Est. copies ≈ 24.4M–39.6M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	983k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	923k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldStory Rich
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival