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How big is Sacred Siren?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 39 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sacred Siren and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sacred Siren's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–6k
best case 17k (IKEA VR Pancake Kitchen)
Games like Sacred Siren

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–6k copies

≈ $9k–$14k after Steam's cut

from ~113 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: IKEA VR Pancake Kitchen at ≈ 13k–21k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 39 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 61.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hentai + Psychedelic.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

IKEA VR Pancake Kitchen
2017
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
370 reviews
Mostly Positive
HentaiPsychedelic
Orders of Magnitude
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
74 reviews
Very Positive
IndieSimulation
DeepStates [VR]
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$11.99
92 reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericVR
Soundscape VR: 2017
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
113 reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
MIRAGE
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$4.99
112 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
DMT: Dynamic Music Tesseract
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$4.99
203 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
The VR Voice Experience
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153 reviews
Very Positive
IndieSimulation
Visionarium 2 - The Descent
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$14.99
54 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationInteractive Fiction

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