How much revenue did MIRAGE make?

$5k–$13k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MIRAGE sell?

Q: How many copies did MIRAGE sell?

3k to 6k copies, based on its 112 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–6k; $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut; from 112 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MIRAGE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MIRAGE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–20k

best case 22k (Paradiddle)

Games like MIRAGE

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–20k copies

≈ $37k–$170k after Steam's cut

from ~417 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Paradiddle at ≈ 17k–28k copies, ≈ $117k–$314k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 161 reviews in their first month; the range was 98 to 324.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Music, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tribe XR \| DJ Academy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	359 reviews Mostly Positive	VRMusic
DMT: Dynamic Music Tesseract 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut	$4.99	203 reviews Very Positive	SimulationIndie
Vinyl Reality - DJ in VR 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before Steam's cut	$19.99	164 reviews Very Positive	SimulationAudio Production
Drums Rock 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $65k–$174k after Steam's cut $117k–$267k before Steam's cut	$19.99	474 reviews Very Positive	VRRhythm
Maestro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $101k–$272k after Steam's cut $184k–$418k before Steam's cut	$24.99	593 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm
Wave Beta 2017	Est. copies ≈ 20k–32k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	577 reviews Very Positive	SimulationMassively Multiplayer
Ultimate Booster Experience 2016	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut	$4.99	344 reviews Mostly Positive	VRSimulation
Paradiddle 2022	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $117k–$314k after Steam's cut $212k–$483k before Steam's cut	$24.99	685 reviews Very Positive	VRMusic