How much revenue did Wave Beta make?

Wave Beta is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Wave Beta sell?

Q: How many copies did Wave Beta sell?

20k to 32k copies, based on its 577 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 20k–32k; from 577 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wave Beta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wave Beta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–14.9M

best case 65.2M (War Thunder)

Games like Wave Beta

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–14.9M copies

≈ $42.4M–$173.4M after Steam's cut

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and VR (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Golf With Your Friends 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	76k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M 8.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
Elite Dangerous 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	108k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSpace
Rec Room 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	84k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayVR
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics