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How big is IKEA VR Pancake Kitchen?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 13k–21k
from 370 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IKEA VR Pancake Kitchen and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IKEA VR Pancake Kitchen's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–5.0M
best case 12.2M (VRChat)
Games like IKEA VR Pancake Kitchen

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–5.0M copies

≈ $8.7M–$35.7M after Steam's cut

from ~95k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 18k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (5 of 8) and VR (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Anime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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RhythmMusic
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Steam Link
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too small to compare
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Steam MachineSoftware
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≈ 3.6M–5.9M
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UtilitiesAudio Production
Resident Evil Village
2021
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≈ 3.8M–6.2M
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$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
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Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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HentaiVR
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive

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