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How many copies did Cube World sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 540k–877k
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
from 19k reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cube World and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cube World's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 725k–22.4M
best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)
Games like Cube World

A typical game among these

≈ 725k–22.4M copies

≈ $7.0M–$219.7M after Steam's cut

from ~262k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 899 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Stoneman's Adventure
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $890–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
24 reviews
Positive
PuzzleSokoban
cyubeVR
2018
Est. copies
≈ 35k–56k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$285k–$765k after Steam's cut $517k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
VRBuilding
Creativerse
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
31k reviews
Mostly Positive
ExplorationSandbox
Zelter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$269k–$723k after Steam's cut $489k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ZombiesSurvival
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies

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