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How big is Dominion?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 56k–92k
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dominion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dominion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 519k–1.1M
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Dominion

A typical game among these

≈ 519k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.8M–$5.7M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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3.4x vs typical
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The Elder Scrolls®: Legends™
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Dota Underlords
2019
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≈ 2.6M–4.3M
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Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
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$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
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Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
GWENT: The Witcher Card Game
2020
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≈ 690k–1.1M
1.8x vs typical
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Hand of Fate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
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Cultist Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 433k–704k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
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Tainted Grail: Conquest
2021
Est. copies
≈ 208k–338k
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$19.99
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DeckbuildingCard Game

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