How much revenue did Dwerve make?

$75k–$202k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dwerve sell?

Q: How many copies did Dwerve sell?

14k to 22k copies, based on its 550 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 14k–22k; $75k–$202k after Steam's cut $136k–$310k before Steam's cut; from 550 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dwerve and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dwerve's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 781–1k

best case 2.9M (Noita)

Games like Dwerve

A typical game among these

≈ 781–1k copies

≈ $2k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~28 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dungeon Crawler (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Noita at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 17k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (4 of 8) and Tower Defense (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + Physics + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Noita 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 3176x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PhysicsRogue-like
BLOOD RITE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $646–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	19 reviews Positive	Auto BattlerTower Defense
Guardians of the Sanctree 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k 13x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $51k–$137k after Steam's cut $93k–$211k before Steam's cut	$19.99	374 reviews Mostly Positive	Base-BuildingOnline Co-Op
One Shell Straight to Hell 2021	Est. copies ≈ 794–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$19.99	32 reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Kalyzmyr 2024	Est. copies ≈ 918–1k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $755–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$2.99	37 reviews Positive	ActionHack and Slash
Miolhr 2022	Est. copies ≈ 595–967 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$16.99	24 reviews Mixed	StrategyRPG
Tunnel of Doom 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut	$13.99	58 reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
The Guardian Stone 2022	Est. copies ≈ 595–967 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$14.99	24 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureRPG