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How many copies did Screeps: Arena sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$17k–$47k after Steam's cut $31k–$72k before Steam's cut
from 127 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Screeps: Arena and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Screeps: Arena's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 144k–270k
best case 314k (The Farmer Was Replaced)
Games like Screeps: Arena

A typical game among these

≈ 144k–270k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Building (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Farmer Was Replaced at ≈ 239k–389k copies, ≈ $658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (4 of 8) and Programming (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Programming + Automation, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Screeps: World
2016
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$480k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $872k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingStrategy
Software Inc.
2015
Est. copies
≈ 385k–625k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$22.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessManagement
The Farmer Was Replaced
2025
Est. copies
≈ 239k–389k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingAutomation
Infinifactory
2015
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$833k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleBuilding
Mad Games Tycoon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 184k–299k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$758k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor
2020
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$296k–$796k after Steam's cut $538k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Duskers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationTyping
Mad Games Tycoon 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 195k–316k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementEconomy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.