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How many copies did Duskers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 117k–191k
$645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Duskers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Duskers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 322k–555k
best case 1.2M (Against the Storm)
Games like Duskers

A typical game among these

≈ 322k–555k copies

≈ $2.0M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Against the Storm at ≈ 934k–1.5M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry City Builder + Base-Building + Colony Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sins of a Solar Empire®: Rebellion
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.3M–$23.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
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ManagementDiplomacy
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
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2023
Est. copies
≈ 337k–548k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
14k reviews
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Est. copies
≈ 207k–336k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$796k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
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8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOtome
Cosmoteer: Starship Architect & Commander
2022
Est. copies
≈ 320k–521k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
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Sci-fiSingleplayer
Epistory - Typing Chronicles
2016
Est. copies
≈ 284k–462k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Very Positive
TypingAdventure
Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox

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