How much revenue did Dune: Spice Wars make?

$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dune: Spice Wars sell?

Q: How many copies did Dune: Spice Wars sell?

337k to 548k copies, based on its 14k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 337k–548k; $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut; from 14k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dune: Spice Wars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dune: Spice Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.8M–8.2M

best case 9.9M (RimWorld)

Games like Dune: Spice Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 2.8M–8.2M copies

≈ $37.7M–$111.5M after Steam's cut

from ~118k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 34k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Building (5 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dyson Sphere Program 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	92k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationSpace
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Jurassic World Evolution 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.8M–$55.9M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$86.1M before Steam's cut	$44.99	55k reviews Very Positive	BuildingDinosaurs
Jurassic World Evolution 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $19.3M–$51.9M after Steam's cut $35.1M–$79.9M before Steam's cut	$59.99	47k reviews Very Positive	DinosaursBuilding
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Barotrauma 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.5M–$57.8M after Steam's cut $39.1M–$88.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	90k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer