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How many copies did GolfTopia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$69k–$187k after Steam's cut $126k–$287k before Steam's cut
from 509 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GolfTopia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GolfTopia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.9M–25.2M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like GolfTopia

A typical game among these

≈ 12.9M–25.2M copies

≈ $183.6M–$241.3M after Steam's cut

from ~371k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 200k reviews in their first month; the range was 182k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.1M–24.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
363k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction

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