How much revenue did Lifeless Moon make?

$29k–$77k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lifeless Moon sell?

Q: How many copies did Lifeless Moon sell?

8k to 13k copies, based on its 323 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8k–13k; $29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut; from 323 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lifeless Moon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lifeless Moon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 562k–1.3M

best case 2.2M (DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT)

Games like Lifeless Moon

A typical game among these

≈ 562k–1.3M copies

≈ $7.5M–$12.6M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $18.8M–$50.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 722 to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Third-Person Shooter + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tell Me Why 2020	Est. copies ≈ 400k–650k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $18.6M–$50.0M after Steam's cut $33.8M–$77.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	45k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerStory Rich
FAR: Lone Sails 2018	Est. copies ≈ 806k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericAdventure
SILENT HILL 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $31.4M–$84.4M after Steam's cut $57.1M–$129.8M before Steam's cut	$69.99	66k reviews Very Positive	Psychological Horror Horror
Kena: Bridge of Spirits 2022	Est. copies ≈ 437k–711k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	18k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Assassin's Creed™: Director's Cut Edition 2008	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.8M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	ActionCombat
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	44k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction-Adventure
DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.8M–$50.6M after Steam's cut $34.2M–$77.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	69k reviews Very Positive	Story RichOpen World