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How many copies did Xenrai sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Xenrai and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Xenrai's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–35k
best case 6.5M (METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE)
Games like Xenrai

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–35k copies

≈ $47k–$298k after Steam's cut

from ~526 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 370 reviews in their first month; the range was 53 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (8 of 8) and Spectacle fighter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hack and Slash + Spectacle fighter, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Third Person + Singleplayer + Historical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LIBLADE
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$24k before Steam's cut
$6.99
120 reviews
Very Positive
Spectacle fighterSide Scroller
Metal Bringer
2025
Est. copies
≈ 29k–48k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$161k–$434k after Steam's cut $293k–$668k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeMechs
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
169x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut $74.8M–$170.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
LIZARDS MUST DIE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 656k–1.1M
50x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$719k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HistoricalSouls-like
Proxy Blade Zero
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$9.99
165 reviews
Mostly Positive
Character Action GameSpectacle fighter
TRANSFORMERS: Devastation
2015
Est. copies
≈ 61k–99k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRobots
Ultra Age
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$227k before Steam's cut
$24.99
322 reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAction
MEGATON MUSASHI W: WIRED
2024
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$249k–$669k after Steam's cut $453k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
730 reviews
Mostly Positive
Spectacle fighterHack and Slash

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