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How many copies did Iron Brigade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 79k–128k
$325k–$874k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Iron Brigade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Iron Brigade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 191k–841k
best case 15.8M (Bloons TD 6)
Games like Iron Brigade

A typical game among these

≈ 191k–841k copies

≈ $2.5M–$8.8M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Bloons TD 6 at ≈ 12.0M–19.6M copies, ≈ $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 536 reviews in their first month; the range was 421 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (7 of 8) and Tower Defense (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Co-op, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Family Friendly + Casual + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sanctum 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
34x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Orcs Must Die! 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Orcs Must Die! 3
2021
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Cavalry Girls
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$164k–$441k after Steam's cut $298k–$678k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterMechs
X-Morph: Defense
2017
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Ninja Kiwi Archive
2020
Est. copies
≈ 145k–235k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
CasualArcade
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 333k–540k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOnline Co-Op

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