How much revenue did ICBM make?

$263k–$707k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ICBM sell?

Q: How many copies did ICBM sell?

48k to 78k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 48k–78k; $263k–$707k after Steam's cut $478k–$1.1M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ICBM and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ICBM's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 235k–1.0M

best case 1.8M (Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition)

Games like ICBM

A typical game among these

≈ 235k–1.0M copies

≈ $901k–$12.5M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition at ≈ 1.4M–2.2M copies, ≈ $13.1M–$35.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Military (8 of 8) and RTS (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building + RTS, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wargame: Airland Battle 2013	Est. copies ≈ 282k–458k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Wargame: Red Dragon 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.6M–$37.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	20k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Armored Brigade 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $115k–$309k after Steam's cut $209k–$476k before Steam's cut	$39.99	363 reviews Very Positive	SimulationStrategy
Wargame: European Escalation 2012	Est. copies ≈ 215k–349k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $590k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.1M–$35.3M after Steam's cut $23.9M–$54.4M before Steam's cut	$34.99	55k reviews Very Positive	StrategyBase-Building
WARNO 2024	Est. copies ≈ 401k–651k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	16k reviews Mostly Positive	WargameMilitary
War Selection 2019	Est. copies ≈ 681k–1.1M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	24k reviews Very Positive	StrategyBase-Building
Supreme Ruler Ultimate 2014	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Grand StrategyTactical