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How many copies did Biolum sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 124 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Biolum and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Biolum's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 135k–1.6M
best case 4.5M (Warhammer 40,000: Darktide)
Games like Biolum

A typical game among these

≈ 135k–1.6M copies

≈ $833k–$11.4M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Darktide at ≈ 3.5M–5.6M copies, ≈ $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 721 to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Cinematic (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Team-Based, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
No Time
2019
Est. copies
≈ 64k–105k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$230k–$618k after Steam's cut $418k–$951k before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Time TravelTime Manipulation
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.6M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
139k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorTeam-Based
Beyond: Two Souls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
7.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureChoices Matter
The Silent Age
2015
Est. copies
≈ 351k–571k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$965k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickSide Scroller
The Dream Machine: Chapter 1 & 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$156k–$420k after Steam's cut $284k–$646k before Steam's cut
$3.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickHand-drawn
Event[0]
2016
Est. copies
≈ 96k–155k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$526k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $956k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSci-fi
Fort Solis
2023
Est. copies
≈ 105k–171k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$723k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Mixed
Walking SimulatorCinematic

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