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How many copies did The Political Machine 2020 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–30k
from 738 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Political Machine 2020 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Political Machine 2020's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 420k–1.1M
best case 1.6M (Pacify)
Games like The Political Machine 2020

A typical game among these

≈ 420k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.1M–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Pacify at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 364 reviews in their first month; the range was 57 to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (3 of 8) and Co-op (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Broken Lines
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$119k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$493k before Steam's cut
$24.99
700 reviews
Mostly Positive
WarSingleplayer
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024
2024
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$289k–$777k after Steam's cut $526k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Football (Soccer)Sports
Draw & Guess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 874k–1.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
PartyMultiplayer
Undisputed
2024
Est. copies
≈ 567k–921k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
23k reviews
Mixed
3D FighterThird Person
Firestone – Idle Clicker Online RPG
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174k–282k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerClicker
Offworld Trading Company
2016
Est. copies
≈ 238k–387k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Replay ValueAtmospheric
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Turmoil
2016
Est. copies
≈ 673k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut
$12.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementMining

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