How much revenue did Kessler Effect make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kessler Effect sell?

Q: How many copies did Kessler Effect sell?

446 to 725 copies, based on its 18 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 446–725; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 18 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kessler Effect and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kessler Effect's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 39k–5.4M

best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)

Games like Kessler Effect

A typical game among these

≈ 39k–5.4M copies

≈ $53.3M–$79.6M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 592 reviews in their first month; the range was 47 to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sci-fi (5 of 8) and VR (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Elite Dangerous 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.5M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	108k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSpace
Alien: Isolation 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	67k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Construct VR - The Volumetric Movie 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	107 reviews Mostly Positive	VRShort
Alien: Rogue Incursion VR 2024	Est. copies ≈ 37k–61k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $750k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	AliensVR
Half-Life: Alyx 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.2M–$116.1M after Steam's cut $78.5M–$178.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	106k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRFPS
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
The Great C 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	235 reviews Very Positive	VRMovie
Bigscreen Beta 2016	Est. copies ≈ 135k–220k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	VRFree to Play