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How many copies did Alien: Rogue Incursion VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–61k
$412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $750k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alien: Rogue Incursion VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alien: Rogue Incursion VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 310–876k
best case 9.9M (Halo: The Master Chief Collection)
Games like Alien: Rogue Incursion VR

A typical game among these

≈ 310–876k copies

≈ $2k–$40.0M after Steam's cut

from ~51 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Halo: The Master Chief Collection at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $83.3M–$223.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 27k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and Sci-fi (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Classic, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Minimally Invasive
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Dark HumorImmersive Sim
Half-Life: Alyx
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
2069x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.2M–$116.1M after Steam's cut $78.5M–$178.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
106k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRFPS
Halo: The Master Chief Collection
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
5155x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$83.3M–$223.9M after Steam's cut $151.4M–$344.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
263k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackFPS
Arken Age
2025
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$193k–$520k after Steam's cut $352k–$800k before Steam's cut
$39.99
709 reviews
Very Positive
VRAdventure
Alien Extraction
2022
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$872–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$7.99
16 reviews
Positive
StrategyVR
Broken
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2 reviews
2 user reviews
AdventurePuzzle
NARGUL - Humans are among us
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$983–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$11.99
12 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRAdventure
One True Path - Part 1
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$1.99
86 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

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