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How many copies did Mineirinho Wildtides DC sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$378–$1k after Steam's cut $688–$2k before Steam's cut
from 56 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mineirinho Wildtides DC and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mineirinho Wildtides DC's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27k–139k
best case 1.5M (ROUNDS)
Games like Mineirinho Wildtides DC

A typical game among these

≈ 27k–139k copies

≈ $24k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ROUNDS at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 693 reviews in their first month; the range was 160 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter, priced around $6.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy under 20k
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DramaNudity
Spiritfall
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1.6x vs typical
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Action Roguelike2D Fighter
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Endorlight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 59k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
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IndieAdventure
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
7.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
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Action Roguelike2D Platformer
ROUNDS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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MultiplayerFighting
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Crimson Dawn
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Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
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Mixed
RPGAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.