How much revenue did Mechanica make?

$4k–$12k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mechanica sell?

Q: How many copies did Mechanica sell?

16k to 26k copies, based on its 640 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 16k–26k; $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut; from 640 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mechanica and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mechanica's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 210k–251k

best case 710k (Drunken Wrestlers 2)

Games like Mechanica

A typical game among these

≈ 210k–251k copies

≈ $849k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Drunken Wrestlers 2 at ≈ 541k–879k copies, ≈ $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Programming (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Programming + Simulation, priced around $16. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + Early Access; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SHENZHEN I/O 2016	Est. copies ≈ 189k–306k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $777k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingAutomation
while True: learn() 2019	Est. copies ≈ 237k–386k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	8k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingSimulation
TIS-100 2015	Est. copies ≈ 201k–326k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$6.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ProgrammingPuzzle
Juno: New Origins 2023	Est. copies ≈ 88k–143k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $485k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $882k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	BuildingScience
Drunken Wrestlers 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 541k–879k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$3.99	19k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessMultiplayer
Mad Games Tycoon 2016	Est. copies ≈ 184k–299k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $758k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Management Simulation
Opus Magnum 2017	Est. copies ≈ 250k–407k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleProgramming
Software Inc. 2015	Est. copies ≈ 385k–625k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$22.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessManagement