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How many copies did Astronaut: The Best sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 843–1k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astronaut: The Best and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astronaut: The Best's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 87k–683k
best case 1.1M (Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut)
Games like Astronaut: The Best

A typical game among these

≈ 87k–683k copies

≈ $624k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut at ≈ 856k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 642 reviews in their first month; the range was 175 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Choices Matter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $18.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Majotori
2017
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$118k–$317k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TriviaMultiple Endings
The Darkside Detective: A Fumble in the Dark
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50k–82k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$207k–$558k after Steam's cut $377k–$858k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsDetective
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Little Misfortune
2019
Est. copies
≈ 409k–664k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Psychological HorrorPoint & Click
Goodbye Volcano High
2023
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichLGBTQ+
Far Away
2021
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerVisual Novel
Scarlet Hollow
2021
Est. copies
≈ 132k–215k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessChoices Matter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.