How much revenue did Little Misfortune make?

$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Little Misfortune sell?

Q: How many copies did Little Misfortune sell?

407k to 662k copies, based on its 14k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 407k–662k; $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before the cut; from 14k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Little Misfortune out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Little Misfortune's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–5.3M

best case 21.8M (Undertale)

Games like Little Misfortune

The middle of these games

≈ 4.4M–5.3M copies

≈ $40.7M–$51.2M after Steam's cut

from ~127k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.6M–27.0M copies, ≈ $45.6M–$122.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 46k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14k to 68k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Horror (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Resident Evil 4 2023	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.1M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $75.3M–$202.5M after Steam's cut $136.9M–$311.6M before the cut	$39.99	276k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorAction
Undertale 2015	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–27.0M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.6M–$122.6M after Steam's cut $82.9M–$188.7M before the cut	$9.99	340k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
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