How much revenue did Ashina: The Red Witch make?

$16k–$43k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ashina: The Red Witch sell?

Q: How many copies did Ashina: The Red Witch sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 235 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut; from 235 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ashina: The Red Witch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ashina: The Red Witch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.7M–6.3M

best case 12.1M (People Playground)

Games like Ashina: The Red Witch

A typical game among these

≈ 3.7M–6.3M copies

≈ $16.1M–$43.5M after Steam's cut

from ~93k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Management (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Management (2 of 8) and Platformer (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Cookie Clicker 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	93k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ClickerIdler
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Broforce 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	61k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AmericaAction
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Trove 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	93k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayOpen World
To the Moon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	87k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichGreat Soundtrack