How many copies did Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue sell?

5k to 7k copies, based on its 184 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue make?

Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 5k–7k; from 184 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.6M

best case 6.7M (Papers, Please)

Games like Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.6M copies

≈ $5.3M–$14.8M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Papers, Please at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Multiple Endings (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Political + Simulation, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Contraband Police 2023	Est. copies ≈ 641k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSimulation
Papers, Please 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	81k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndiePolitical
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Anno 1800 2019	Est. copies ≈ 935k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderStrategy
Sultan's Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RPGSimulation
Beholder 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$13.99	31k reviews Very Positive	Dystopian Choices Matter
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings